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Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally

Lumber River Eviction Risk: Moderate , Oshkosh

Tract 55139000900 · Winnebago County, WI · pop 3,383 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 4.3/10, tract 55139000900 in the Lumber River area of Oshkosh, WI reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,383. Against Winnebago County at 38.0%, 25% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 32% Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,480
Renter share43.0%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$66,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Lumber River
Very Low
Within parent city
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 21 tracts In Oshkosh
Low
Within county
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 45 tracts In Winnebago County
Moderate
Within state
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#476 of 1,528 tracts In Wisconsin
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oshkosh and the region

Centroid at 44.0474, -88.5606 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lumber River scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oshkosh
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Wisconsin legislature & governorship
2.9
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$942 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oshkosh
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oshkosh
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oshkosh
5.8

How Lumber River compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lumber River risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.3This tracttract 0009004.0Oshkoshparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 48

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 142Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 2.16%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.6%Peak (2010)
  • 17Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 55139000900
Filings climbed 467% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lumber River. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lumber River

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10. Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.7/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.8/10.

Court records carry 142 eviction filings across 12 observed years. Filings peaked in 2010 at 3.6% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Oshkosh. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 2.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #44,239 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $66,250, annual rent is just 17%.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Winnebago County average of 4.0 closely.

Average gross rent is $942, close to the Oshkosh average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 55139000900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 55139000900?

Census tract 55139000900 in the Lumber River neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 55139000900?

Median gross rent is $942/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 55139000900?

11.2% of residents in tract 55139000900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,383.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 55139000900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 83th, minority 15th, housing 64th.
Q5

Is tract 55139000900 considered part of Lumber River?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 55139000900 fall within Lumber River (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 55139000900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 142 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 55139000900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.16% of renter households, peaking at 3.6% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 55139000900 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 55139000900 compare to Oshkosh overall?

Tract 55139000900 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Oshkosh at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oshkosh eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 55139000900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 12% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oshkosh

Top eight tracts in Oshkosh ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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