Neighborhood · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally

Winthrop Square Eviction Risk: Lower , Mobile

Tract 01097006411 · Mobile County, AL · pop 4,847 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 01097006411 covers Winthrop Square in Mobile, home to 4,847 residents. For landlords it grades 4.2/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 17th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 34% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 4% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,211 a month against an average household income of $58,480 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 41% of occupied homes.

Risk score

3.6

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 27% Owners 59%

Tract context

Occupied units1,797

Renter share41.5%

SVI overall0.63

Poverty rate5.7%

Median income$58,480

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mobile and the region

Centroid at 30.6725, -88.2164 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winthrop Square scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Mobile

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.4

State political climate

Alabama legislature & governorship

1.8

Economic stress

5.7% poverty · this tract

1.4

Supply constraint

$1,211 rent vs county FMR

6.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Mobile

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Mobile

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Mobile

3.0

How Winthrop Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

68%Socioeconomic
54%Household composition
58%Racial/ethnic minority
48%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Winthrop Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.9%Housing insecurity
7.5%Utility-shutoff threat
15.0%Food insecurity
9.3%SNAP enrollment
8.0%Transit barriers
8.3%No health insurance
16.3%Frequent mental distress
30.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winthrop Square

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 6.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mobile eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Mobile County average of 4.9 and in line with the Alabama statewide average of 4.5. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 63rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 01097006411

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01097006411?

Census tract 01097006411 in the Winthrop Square neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 01097006411?

Median gross rent is $1,211/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 01097006411?

5.7% of residents in tract 01097006411 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,847.

How socially vulnerable is tract 01097006411?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 54th, minority 58th, housing 48th.

Is tract 01097006411 considered part of Winthrop Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 01097006411 fall within Winthrop Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 01097006411 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 01097006411 compare to Mobile overall?

Tract 01097006411 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of Mobile at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mobile eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mobile

Top eight tracts in Mobile ranked by composite eviction-risk score.