Skip to content
Douglas, Arizona eviction risk overview
City brief · 15,981 residents

Douglas, AZ Eviction Risk: LOW

Cochise County · Population 15,981

In 2026
Risk score
3
LOW

89th percentile, Arizona.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.6 Average2.2 Now3
3.3 1.6 1976 · score 2.1 1977 · score 2.0 1978 · score 1.9 1979 · score 1.8 1980 · score 1.9 1981 · score 1.7 1982 · score 1.9 1983 · score 1.8 1984 · score 1.6 1985 · score 1.7 1986 · score 1.7 1987 · score 1.7 1988 · score 1.7 1989 · score 1.6 1990 · score 1.7 1991 · score 1.7 1992 · score 2.0 1993 · score 1.9 1994 · score 1.9 1995 · score 1.9 1996 · score 2.1 1997 · score 2.1 1998 · score 2.1 1999 · score 2.1 2000 · score 2.0 2001 · score 2.1 2002 · score 2.2 2003 · score 2.2 2004 · score 2.1 2005 · score 2.0 2006 · score 2.0 2007 · score 2.0 2008 · score 2.3 2009 · score 2.5 2010 · score 2.5 2011 · score 2.5 2012 · score 2.4 2013 · score 2.4 2014 · score 2.4 2015 · score 2.4 2016 · score 2.5 2017 · score 2.5 2018 · score 2.6 2019 · score 2.6 2020 · score 3.1 2021 · score 3.3 2022 · score 2.8 2023 · score 2.8 2024 · score 3.1 2025 · score 3.1 2026 · score 3.0

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 4.6 Regional 4.6 State 2.2 Economic 9.1 Supply 5.5 Rent Control 5.8 Eviction 1.7 Tenant 7.8 Housing 7.4 3 LOW
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +23.2% (2024)
    4.6
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    4.6
  3. State political climate
    Arizona legislature & governorship
    2.2
  4. Economic stress
    30.2% poverty · 11.4% unemp.
    9.1
  5. Supply constraint
    $772 average · 37.4% renters
    5.5
  6. Rent Control risk
    28.9% of income on rent
    5.8
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    42 days filing → judgment
    1.7
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    37.4% renters
    7.8
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    7.4
Geographic context

Risk heat across Douglas and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Douglas compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Cochise County
High
#4 of 22 cities
Rank in county, 86th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 22 cities in Cochise County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Arizona
High
#56 of 464 cities
Rank in state, 88th percentileLowHigh
#56 of 464 cities in Arizona for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Douglas risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Douglas: 3.03.0DouglasThis cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg in countyState: 2.72.7Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 3
    / 10 · LOW
    The verdict

    A Low-tier market.

    Composite 3/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend+0.9 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 42d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $772/mo. A contested eviction takes 42 days and costs $1,535–$3,843 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 37.4%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 15,981 residents, 37.4% rent. 29% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 30.2% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 4.6
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 4.6 and 4.6 (GOP margin +23.2% (2024)). State climate at 2.2, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 2.2
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 2.2/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 1.7, housing court bias 7.4, rent-control risk 5.8. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-3.3 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 9.1
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the real risk.

    Economic stress: 9.1. Supply constraint: 5.5. The numbers behind those: 30.2% poverty, 11.4% unemployment, 29% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Douglas sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Tucson, AZ · 43d · ~$3.3k all-in ($78/day) · score 3.2 Tucson Mesa, AZ · 38d · ~$3.1k all-in ($82/day) · score 2.8 Mesa Gilbert, AZ · 37d · ~$3.6k all-in ($97/day) · score 2.4 Gilbert Chandler, AZ · 40d · ~$3.1k all-in ($78/day) · score 2.5 Chandler Glendale, AZ · 42d · ~$3.0k all-in ($72/day) · score 2.9 Glendale Scottsdale, AZ · 37d · ~$3.3k all-in ($88/day) · score 2.3 Scottsdale Peoria, AZ · 37d · ~$3.3k all-in ($90/day) · score 2.4 Peoria Tempe, AZ · 37d · ~$3.0k all-in ($81/day) · score 3.1 Tempe Surprise, AZ · 41d · ~$2.7k all-in ($67/day) · score 2.4 Surprise Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Douglas
Douglas · 42d · ~$2.7k all-in ($64/day) · score 3 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Douglas, AZ

Landlording in Douglas, Arizona, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 3/10 (LOW tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Douglas is a city of 15,981 residents where 37.4% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 28.9% of income on rent. At an average rent of $772/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Douglas eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 1.7/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Douglas closes 42 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Douglas's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 7.4/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Douglas runs $1,535 to $3,843 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 42 days of typical timeline and $772/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 7.8/10 in Douglas, and the city has limited rent control exposure (5.8/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Arizona, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Douglas: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a LOW tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Arizona's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $3,843 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Douglas

Trap · PRACTICAL TRAP
Compare Douglas to neighboring cities in Cochise County via the grid below. The 4.6/10 score is computed from nine sub-factors plus a state-law multiplier under ARLTA ARS 33. Cochise County 2020 presidential margin: R+19.6. Cross-reference the state overview link in the guides section for Arizona statutory detail.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What if my Douglas tenant just disappears?

If your tenant abandons the property and leaves belongings, you generally need to wait a specific period (usually 5 days after a written notice of abandonment is posted) before you can take possession. You must also store their belongings for a set time (typically 10 days) and notify them. If they don't claim them, you can dispose of them. Always consult an attorney to ensure you follow the strict rules for abandonment to avoid legal trouble.
Q2

Can I raise the rent in Douglas?

Yes, Arizona has no statewide rent control. You can raise the rent, but you must provide proper notice. For a month-to-month lease, a 30-day written notice is usually required before the rent increase takes effect. For a fixed-term lease, you can only raise the rent when the lease term expires, and you offer a new lease. See our Arizona rent control rules for more.
Q3

Do I need an attorney for an eviction in Douglas?

While you can represent yourself in Justice Court, it's highly recommended to at least consult with an attorney. The eviction process has specific legal requirements for notices, filing, and court procedures. Mistakes can lead to delays, dismissal of your case, and more lost rent. An attorney can navigate these complexities efficiently, especially if the tenant contests the eviction.
Q4

What if my tenant claims I didn't make repairs?

If a tenant claims you haven't made necessary repairs, they must first provide you with written notice of the issue. You then have a reasonable amount of time (often 5-10 days, depending on the severity) to fix it. If you don't, they may have certain remedies, like self-help repairs and deducting the cost from rent, or terminating the lease. However, they cannot simply withhold rent without following specific statutory procedures. Always address legitimate repair requests promptly and document your actions.
Q5

Are there tenant protections I should know about in Douglas?

Arizona has various tenant protections under the A.R.S. § 33-1301 et seq. These cover things like security deposit limits, landlord access rules, and the right to proper notice for evictions or lease terminations. There are no statewide source-of-income protections or just-cause eviction requirements in Arizona, which simplifies things for landlords compared to some other states. For a full breakdown, check our Arizona tenant protections guide.
06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 3/10 places Douglas in the 89th percentile of Arizona cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.