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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,870 of 84,120 nationally

Dysart Ranch Eviction Risk: Elevated , Avondale

Tract 04013061020 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,576 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 04013061020 sits in the Dysart Ranch neighborhood of Avondale, Arizona. It has a population of 3,576 and an eviction-risk score of 6.0/10 (Elevated tier). 49% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 23% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $2,355/month against a median household income of $132,292 — roughly 21% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
6.0
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 7% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,205
Renter share14.4%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$132,292

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank — 50th percentileBottomTop
#2 of 3 tracts In Dysart Ranch
Moderate
Within parent city
87 th percentile
Rank — 87th percentileBottomTop
#4 of 24 tracts In Avondale
High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank — 96th percentileBottomTop
#43 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank — 95th percentileBottomTop
#83 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Avondale and the region

Centroid at 33.4857, -112.3677 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dysart Ranch scores 6.0

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Avondale
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$2,355 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avondale
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avondale
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avondale
5.9

How Dysart Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Dysart Ranch risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 061020Avondale: 6.16.1Avondaleparent cityCounty: 5.15.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.94.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 38

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 15Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 4.73%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.4%Peak (2005)
  • 8Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 — 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040130610202001: 1 filings (1.79/100 renter HHs)2002: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 3 filings (5.38/100 renter HHs)2004: 3 filings (5.38/100 renter HHs)2005: 8 filings (6.36/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 700% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Dysart Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013061020

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061020?

Census tract 04013061020 in the Dysart Ranch neighborhood scores 6.0/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013061020?

Median gross rent is $2,355/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061020?

5.6% of residents in tract 04013061020 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,576.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061020?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 71th, minority 67th, housing 9th.

Q5

Is tract 04013061020 considered part of Dysart Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061020 fall within Dysart Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013061020?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 15 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 04013061020 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.73% of renter households, peaking at 6.4% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 04013061020 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 04013061020 compare to Avondale overall?

Tract 04013061020 scores 6.0/10 — right in line with the parent city of Avondale at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Avondale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Avondale

Top eight tracts in Avondale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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