Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #17,526 of 84,120 nationally
Estrella Mountain Ranch Eviction Risk: Elevated , Goodyear
Tract 04013723310 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,510 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Census tract 04013723310 sits in the Estrella Mountain Ranch neighborhood of Goodyear, Arizona. It has a population of 2,510 and an eviction-risk score of 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). 74% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 0% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $2,750/month against a median household income of $145,676 — roughly 23% rent-to-income at the medians.
Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,088
Renter share5.7%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate3.1%
Median income$145,676
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
96
th percentile
Very High
Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Goodyear and the region
Centroid at 33.3336, -112.4368 · click any tract to drill in
Why Estrella Mountain Ranch scores 6.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Goodyear
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,750 rent vs county FMR
9.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goodyear
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goodyear
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goodyear
5.9
How Estrella Mountain Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Estrella Mountain Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.4%Housing insecurity
- 4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.1%Food insecurity
- 5.9%SNAP enrollment
- 5.5%Transit barriers
- 7.2%No health insurance
- 13.1%Frequent mental distress
- 25.6%Any disability
Frequently asked
About tract 04013723310
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013723310?
Census tract 04013723310 in the Estrella Mountain Ranch neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013723310?
Median gross rent is $2,750/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013723310?
3.1% of residents in tract 04013723310 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,510.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013723310?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 4th, minority 46th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 04013723310 considered part of Estrella Mountain Ranch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013723310 fall within Estrella Mountain Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013723310 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013723310 compare to Goodyear overall?
Tract 04013723310 scores 6.1/10 — higher than the parent city of Goodyear at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Goodyear
Top eight tracts in Goodyear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Estrella Vista
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Pebblecreek
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Dysart Ranch
6.0
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Wildflower Ranch
6.0
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Pebblecreek
6.0
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Rancho Santa Fe
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Estrella Mountain Ranch
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Estrella Vista
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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