3 census tracts · pop 8,726 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10
· range 3–3
Estrella Mountain Ranch is a 3-tract neighborhood of Goodyear, AZ, population 8,726. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, Lower tier. 70% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Goodyear rate of 37.1%.
The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.1/10. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.6/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 8.3/10.
The voucher gap is 20.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. At $2,345 a month, rents sit 20% over what the rest of Goodyear commands. 14% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
Court records for this tract carry 4 eviction filings. SNAP participation is 5.9% of households versus 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2002, when filings touched 14.0% of renter households.
Food insecurity affects 9.0% of adults, 8.8 points below the national rate. The most recent observed rate, 1.7% in 2005, is well off that peak.
That places it #6 of 7 neighborhoods in Goodyear.
With little internal variation, 3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
3
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Estrella Mountain Ranch vs GoodyearHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority38%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport7%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Estrella Mountain Ranch
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
4Total filings (sum)
10.92%Avg annual filing rate
14.0%Peak year (2002)
1.70%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Estrella Mountain Ranch
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
7.5%Housing insecurity
4.4%Utility shutoff threat
9.0%Food insecurity
5.8%SNAP enrollment
7.4%No health insurance
25.5%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Estrella Mountain Ranch
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Estrella Mountain Ranch?
Estrella Mountain Ranch scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Estrella Mountain Ranch compare to Goodyear overall?
Estrella Mountain Ranch scores 1.0 points lower than Goodyear overall (4/10). Renters spend 70% of income on rent vs 37% citywide. Average rent: $2,345 vs $1,956.
Q3
What is the average rent in Estrella Mountain Ranch?
Average gross rent in Estrella Mountain Ranch is $2,345/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Estrella Mountain Ranch residents are renters?
9% of Estrella Mountain Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 22% in Goodyear). The neighborhood has 8,726 residents.
Q5
Is Estrella Mountain Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?
Estrella Mountain Ranch sits in the 6th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Estrella Mountain Ranch have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Estrella Mountain Ranch is census tract 04013723309 (score 3/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Estrella Mountain Ranch for landlords?
Estrella Mountain Ranch carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Goodyear as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Estrella Mountain Ranch?
Estrella Mountain Ranch has 9,108 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (75.4%), Hispanic / Latino (16.2%), Other / Multiracial (5.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
