Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #79,124 of 84,120 nationally
Estrella Mountain Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Goodyear
Tract 04013723307 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,341 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
In Estrella Mountain Ranch in Goodyear, census tract 04013723307 scores 5.7/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 66th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
44% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,019 monthly, set against $129,286 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 8% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,002
Renter share8.5%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate4.8%
Median income$129,286
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
35
th percentile
Low
Within county
11
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
8
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Goodyear and the region
Centroid at 33.3693, -112.4319 · click any tract to drill in
Why Estrella Mountain Ranch scores 1.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Goodyear
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
4.8% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$2,019 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goodyear
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goodyear
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goodyear
5.9
How Estrella Mountain Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 19%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 50%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 4Total filings over 4 yrs
- 10.92%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.0%Peak (2002)
- 1Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Estrella Mountain Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.4%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.1%Food insecurity
- 6.1%SNAP enrollment
- 5.5%Transit barriers
- 7.1%No health insurance
- 13.1%Frequent mental distress
- 25.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Estrella Mountain Ranch
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 4 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 10.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 14.0% of renter households in 2002.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013723307
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013723307?
Census tract 04013723307 in the Estrella Mountain Ranch neighborhood scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013723307?
Median gross rent is $2,019/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013723307?
4.8% of residents in tract 04013723307 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,341.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013723307?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 31th, minority 50th, housing 3th.
Q5
Is tract 04013723307 considered part of Estrella Mountain Ranch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013723307 fall within Estrella Mountain Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013723307?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 04013723307 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.92% of renter households, peaking at 14.0% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013723307 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013723307 compare to Goodyear overall?
Tract 04013723307 scores 1.5/10, lower than the parent city of Goodyear at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Goodyear
Top eight tracts in Goodyear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Wildflower Ranch
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Litchfield Junction
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013061063
2.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013723304
2.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Estrella Vista
2.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Canyon Trails
2.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Pebblecreek
2.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Centerra
2.3
/ 10 · Low
Related