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Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally

Pebblecreek Eviction Risk: Lower , Goodyear

Tract 04013061018 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,512 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 04013061018 covers part of the Pebblecreek area of Goodyear, AZ, and scores 3.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. 48% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 3% Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units3,281
Renter share7.7%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$78,835

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Pebblecreek
Very High
Within parent city
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 24 tracts In Goodyear
Elevated
Within county
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#438 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#811 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Goodyear and the region

Centroid at 33.4867, -112.4005 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pebblecreek scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Goodyear
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$3,143 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goodyear
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goodyear
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goodyear
5.9

How Pebblecreek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pebblecreek risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.63.6This tracttract 061018Goodyear: 4.04.0Goodyearparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 19

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pebblecreek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pebblecreek

The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. Average gross rent is $3,143, 61% above the Goodyear average. The voucher gap is 61.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Set annual rent against average income of $78,835 and the ratio lands at 48%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.1/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 1.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Adults with no health insurance runs 4.2% against 11.3% nationally. Nationally it ranks #56,048 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013061018

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061018?

Census tract 04013061018 in the Pebblecreek neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013061018?

Median gross rent is $3,143/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061018?

4.4% of residents in tract 04013061018 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,512.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061018?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 46th, minority 15th, housing 24th.
Q5

Is tract 04013061018 considered part of Pebblecreek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061018 fall within Pebblecreek (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013061018 struggle to pay rent?

About 2.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 1.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013061018 compare to Goodyear overall?

Tract 04013061018 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Goodyear at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Goodyear

Top eight tracts in Goodyear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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