Neighborhood · Ranked #69,776 of 84,120 nationally

Pebblecreek Eviction Risk: Lower , Goodyear

Tract 04013061018 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,512 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 04013061018 runs through Pebblecreek in Goodyear. With 5,512 residents, it scores 6.1/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #17,546 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 61% of renter households, a severe level, and 48% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $3,143 a month against an average household income of $78,835 a year, roughly 48% of income at the averages. Renters make up 8% of occupied homes.

Risk score

2.3

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 3% Owners 92%

Tract context

Occupied units3,281

Renter share7.7%

SVI overall0.19

Poverty rate4.4%

Median income$78,835

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Goodyear and the region

Centroid at 33.4867, -112.4005 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pebblecreek scores 2.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Goodyear

5.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

4.4% poverty · this tract

1.1

Supply constraint

$3,143 rent vs county FMR

10.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Goodyear

8.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Goodyear

5.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Goodyear

5.9

How Pebblecreek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 19

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

19%Socioeconomic
46%Household composition
15%Racial/ethnic minority
24%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pebblecreek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

2.5%Housing insecurity
1.6%Utility-shutoff threat
4.6%Food insecurity
3.1%SNAP enrollment
2.8%Transit barriers
4.2%No health insurance
7.4%Frequent mental distress
34.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pebblecreek

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 19th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 2.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 1.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013061018

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061018?

Census tract 04013061018 in the Pebblecreek neighborhood scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013061018?

Median gross rent is $3,143/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061018?

4.4% of residents in tract 04013061018 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,512.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061018?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 46th, minority 15th, housing 24th.

Is tract 04013061018 considered part of Pebblecreek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061018 fall within Pebblecreek (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04013061018 struggle to pay rent?

About 2.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 1.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013061018 compare to Goodyear overall?

Tract 04013061018 scores 2.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Goodyear at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Goodyear

Top eight tracts in Goodyear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.