Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Pebblecreek Eviction Risk: Lower , Goodyear
Tract 04013061055 ·
Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,992 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 04013061055 covers part of the Pebblecreek area of Goodyear, AZ, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%Stable renters 12%Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,812
Renter share24.3%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$142,217
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#3 of 3 tracts In Pebblecreek
Very Low
Within parent city
17th percentile
#20 of 24 tracts In Goodyear
Very Low
Within county
38th percentile
#622 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
40th percentile
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Goodyear and the region
Centroid at 33.5006, -112.3985 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pebblecreek scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Goodyear
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,154 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goodyear
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goodyear
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goodyear
5.9
How Pebblecreek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
35%Socioeconomic
41%Household composition
63%Racial/ethnic minority
44%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Pebblecreek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
10.6%Housing insecurity
5.9%Utility-shutoff threat
13.3%Food insecurity
8.6%SNAP enrollment
7.4%Transit barriers
10.7%No health insurance
14.5%Frequent mental distress
26.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pebblecreek
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. 14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Cost burden runs 50% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.
At $2,154 a month, rents run 10% over what the rest of Goodyear commands. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.7/10. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $142,217.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013061055
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061055?
Census tract 04013061055 in the Pebblecreek neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013061055?
Median gross rent is $2,154/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061055?
5.8% of residents in tract 04013061055 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,992.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061055?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 41th, minority 63th, housing 44th.
Q5
Is tract 04013061055 considered part of Pebblecreek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061055 fall within Pebblecreek (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013061055 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013061055 compare to Goodyear overall?
Tract 04013061055 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Goodyear at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Goodyear
Top eight tracts in Goodyear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.