Neighborhood · Ranked #17,526 of 84,120 nationally

Estrella Vista Eviction Risk: Elevated , Goodyear

Tract 04013061024 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,237 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 04013061024 sits in the Estrella Vista neighborhood of Goodyear, Arizona. It has a population of 2,237 and an eviction-risk score of 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). 57% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 7% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,566/month against a median household income of $99,495 — roughly 19% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

6.1

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 12% Owners 73%

Tract context

Occupied units781

Renter share27.3%

SVI overall0.48

Poverty rate14.3%

Median income$99,495

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Goodyear and the region

Centroid at 33.4138, -112.3998 · click any tract to drill in

Why Estrella Vista scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Goodyear

5.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

14.3% poverty · this tract

3.6

Supply constraint

$1,566 rent vs county FMR

3.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Goodyear

8.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Goodyear

5.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Goodyear

5.9

How Estrella Vista compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 48

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

39%Socioeconomic
50%Household composition
65%Racial/ethnic minority
51%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

26Total filings over 4 yrs
17.48%Avg annual filing rate
4.8%Peak (2005)
13Filings in 2005 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2001 — 2005

Filings climbed 550% over the past 5 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Estrella Vista. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

14.8%Housing insecurity
7.9%Utility-shutoff threat
18.0%Food insecurity
11.7%SNAP enrollment
9.8%Transit barriers
15.7%No health insurance
16.5%Frequent mental distress
27.7%Any disability

Frequently asked

About tract 04013061024

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061024?

Census tract 04013061024 in the Estrella Vista neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013061024?

Median gross rent is $1,566/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061024?

14.3% of residents in tract 04013061024 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,237.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061024?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 50th, minority 65th, housing 51th.

Is tract 04013061024 considered part of Estrella Vista?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061024 fall within Estrella Vista (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013061024?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 26 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 04013061024 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.48% of renter households, peaking at 4.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 04013061024 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013061024 compare to Goodyear overall?

Tract 04013061024 scores 6.1/10 — higher than the parent city of Goodyear at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Goodyear

Top eight tracts in Goodyear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.