Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Estrella Vista Eviction Risk: Moderate , Goodyear
Tract 04013061024 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,237 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 4.1/10, tract 04013061024 in the Estrella Vista area of Goodyear, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,237. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units781
Renter share27.3%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate14.3%
Median income$99,495
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
87
th percentile
High
Within county
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Goodyear and the region
Centroid at 33.4138, -112.3998 · click any tract to drill in
Why Estrella Vista scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Goodyear
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
14.3% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,566 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goodyear
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goodyear
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goodyear
5.9
How Estrella Vista compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 48
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 51%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 26Total filings over 4 yrs
- 17.48%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.8%Peak (2005)
- 13Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 550% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Estrella Vista. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.8%Housing insecurity
- 7.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.0%Food insecurity
- 11.7%SNAP enrollment
- 9.8%Transit barriers
- 15.7%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 27.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Estrella Vista
Cost burden runs 57% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10.
At $1,566 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Goodyear commands. Court records carry 26 eviction filings across 4 observed years. The worst year on record was 2005, when 4.8% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 17.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 44th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.3/10.
It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $99,495. 27% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013061024
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061024?
Census tract 04013061024 in the Estrella Vista neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013061024?
Median gross rent is $1,566/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061024?
14.3% of residents in tract 04013061024 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,237.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061024?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 50th, minority 65th, housing 51th.
Q5
Is tract 04013061024 considered part of Estrella Vista?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061024 fall within Estrella Vista (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013061024?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 26 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 04013061024 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.48% of renter households, peaking at 4.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013061024 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013061024 compare to Goodyear overall?
Tract 04013061024 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Goodyear at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Goodyear
Top eight tracts in Goodyear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Wildflower Ranch
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Litchfield Junction
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013061063
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013723304
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Canyon Trails
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Pebblecreek
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Centerra
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013061064
3.4
/ 10 · Low
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