Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally

Wildflower Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Goodyear

Tract 04013061053 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 7,504 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 04013061053 covers Wildflower Ranch in Goodyear in Arizona. Home to 7,504 residents, it scores $1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 70% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 42% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,814 a month against an average household income of $55,958 a year, roughly 39% of income at the averages. Renters make up 40% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 12% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units3,005
Renter share39.5%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate9.6%
Median income$55,958

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Wildflower Ranch
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 24 tracts In Goodyear
Very High
Within county
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#488 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Moderate
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#1,040 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Goodyear and the region

Centroid at 33.4557, -112.4014 · click any tract to drill in

Why Wildflower Ranch scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Goodyear
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
9.6% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,814 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goodyear
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goodyear
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goodyear
5.9

How Wildflower Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Wildflower Ranch risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.13.1This tracttract 061053Goodyear: 2.52.5Goodyearparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Wildflower Ranch

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013061053

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061053?

Census tract 04013061053 in the Wildflower Ranch neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013061053?

Median gross rent is $1,814/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061053?

9.6% of residents in tract 04013061053 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,504.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061053?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 51th, minority 76th, housing 89th.
Q5

Is tract 04013061053 considered part of Wildflower Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061053 fall within Wildflower Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013061053 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013061053 compare to Goodyear overall?

Tract 04013061053 scores 3.1/10, higher than the parent city of Goodyear at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Goodyear

Top eight tracts in Goodyear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related