Estrella Mountain Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Goodyear
Tract 04013723309 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,875 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Census tract 04013723309 covers part of the Estrella Mountain Ranch area of Goodyear, AZ, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,875 residents. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 83% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Goodyear and the region
Centroid at 33.3339, -112.4163 · click any tract to drill in
Why Estrella Mountain Ranch scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Estrella Mountain Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 10%Housing & transportation
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Estrella Mountain Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.9%Food insecurity
- 5.6%SNAP enrollment
- 5.4%Transit barriers
- 7.6%No health insurance
- 13.2%Frequent mental distress
- 25.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Estrella Mountain Ranch
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
SNAP participation runs 5.6% against 15.2% nationally. The voucher gap is 16.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
At $2,280 a month, rents run 17% over what the rest of Goodyear commands. Food insecurity runs 8.9% against 17.8% nationally.
It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 10% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 04013723309
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013723309?
What is the average rent in tract 04013723309?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013723309?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013723309?
Is tract 04013723309 considered part of Estrella Mountain Ranch?
What share of households in tract 04013723309 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04013723309 compare to Goodyear overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Goodyear
Top eight tracts in Goodyear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.