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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,870 of 84,120 nationally

Pebblecreek Eviction Risk: Elevated , Goodyear

Tract 04013061055 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,992 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 04013061055 sits in the Pebblecreek neighborhood of Goodyear, Arizona. It has a population of 5,992 and an eviction-risk score of 6.0/10 (Elevated tier). 50% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 14% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $2,154/month against a median household income of $142,217 — roughly 18% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
6.0
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 12% Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,812
Renter share24.3%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$142,217

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank — 50th percentileBottomTop
#2 of 3 tracts In Pebblecreek
Moderate
Within parent city
78 th percentile
Rank — 78th percentileBottomTop
#6 of 24 tracts In Goodyear
High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank — 96th percentileBottomTop
#45 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank — 95th percentileBottomTop
#83 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Goodyear and the region

Centroid at 33.5006, -112.3985 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pebblecreek scores 6.0

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Goodyear
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,154 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goodyear
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goodyear
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goodyear
5.9

How Pebblecreek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pebblecreek risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 061055Goodyear: 5.85.8Goodyearparent cityCounty: 5.15.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.94.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pebblecreek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013061055

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061055?

Census tract 04013061055 in the Pebblecreek neighborhood scores 6.0/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013061055?

Median gross rent is $2,154/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061055?

5.8% of residents in tract 04013061055 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,992.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061055?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 41th, minority 63th, housing 44th.

Q5

Is tract 04013061055 considered part of Pebblecreek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061055 fall within Pebblecreek (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

Q6

What share of households in tract 04013061055 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q7

How does tract 04013061055 compare to Goodyear overall?

Tract 04013061055 scores 6.0/10 — right in line with the parent city of Goodyear at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Goodyear

Top eight tracts in Goodyear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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