Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

Canyon Trails Eviction Risk: Lower , Goodyear

Tract 04013061057 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,400 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

04013061057 is a census tract in the Canyon Trails area of Goodyear, AZ. It scores 3.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,400 residents. Cost burden runs 81% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County.

Risk score

3.7

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 6% Owners 68%

Tract context

Occupied units1,212

Renter share31.8%

SVI overall0.45

Poverty rate6.2%

Median income$79,688

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Goodyear and the region

Centroid at 33.4525, -112.4413 · click any tract to drill in

Why Canyon Trails scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Goodyear

5.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

6.2% poverty · this tract

1.5

Supply constraint

$1,958 rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Goodyear

8.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Goodyear

5.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Goodyear

5.9

How Canyon Trails compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

50%Socioeconomic
33%Household composition
67%Racial/ethnic minority
37%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Canyon Trails. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.6%Housing insecurity
6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
15.6%Food insecurity
10.0%SNAP enrollment
8.3%Transit barriers
13.9%No health insurance
15.1%Frequent mental distress
27.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Canyon Trails

The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.5/10.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. Nationally it ranks #54,273 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,958, close to the Goodyear average. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $79,688. 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013061057

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061057?

Census tract 04013061057 in the Canyon Trails neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013061057?

Median gross rent is $1,958/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 81% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061057?

6.2% of residents in tract 04013061057 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,400.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061057?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 33th, minority 67th, housing 37th.

Is tract 04013061057 considered part of Canyon Trails?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061057 fall within Canyon Trails (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04013061057 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013061057 compare to Goodyear overall?

Tract 04013061057 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Goodyear at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Goodyear

Top eight tracts in Goodyear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.