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Neighborhood · Ranked #75,086 of 84,120 nationally

Pebblecreek Eviction Risk: Lower , Goodyear

Tract 04013061054 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,765 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 04013061054 sits in the Pebblecreek area of Goodyear eviction risk, Arizona eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.9/10. That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 67% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,831 monthly, set against $103,046 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 22% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 7% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units3,501
Renter share22.5%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$103,046

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Pebblecreek
Moderate
Within parent city
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 24 tracts In Goodyear
Moderate
Within county
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#820 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#1,515 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Goodyear and the region

Centroid at 33.4701, -112.4005 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pebblecreek scores 1.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Goodyear
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,831 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goodyear
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goodyear
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goodyear
5.9

How Pebblecreek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pebblecreek risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.91.9This tracttract 061054Goodyear: 2.52.5Goodyearparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 38

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pebblecreek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pebblecreek

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013061054

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061054?

Census tract 04013061054 in the Pebblecreek neighborhood scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013061054?

Median gross rent is $1,831/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061054?

5.8% of residents in tract 04013061054 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,765.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061054?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 45th, minority 50th, housing 44th.
Q5

Is tract 04013061054 considered part of Pebblecreek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061054 fall within Pebblecreek (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013061054 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013061054 compare to Goodyear overall?

Tract 04013061054 scores 1.9/10, lower than the parent city of Goodyear at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Goodyear

Top eight tracts in Goodyear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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