Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Pebblecreek Eviction Risk: Lower , Goodyear
Tract 04013061054 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,765 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
04013061054 is a census tract in the Pebblecreek area of Goodyear, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 6,765. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 67% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units3,501
Renter share22.5%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$103,046
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
30
th percentile
Low
Within county
39
th percentile
Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Goodyear and the region
Centroid at 33.4701, -112.4005 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pebblecreek scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Goodyear
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,831 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goodyear
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goodyear
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goodyear
5.9
How Pebblecreek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 45%Household composition
- 50%Racial/ethnic minority
- 44%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Pebblecreek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.7%Housing insecurity
- 4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.1%Food insecurity
- 6.5%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 9.9%No health insurance
- 12.2%Frequent mental distress
- 28.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pebblecreek
The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.4/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. SNAP participation runs 6.5% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 10.1% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.4/10.
Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013061054
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061054?
Census tract 04013061054 in the Pebblecreek neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013061054?
Median gross rent is $1,831/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061054?
5.8% of residents in tract 04013061054 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,765.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061054?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 45th, minority 50th, housing 44th.
Q5
Is tract 04013061054 considered part of Pebblecreek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061054 fall within Pebblecreek (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013061054 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013061054 compare to Goodyear overall?
Tract 04013061054 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Goodyear at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Goodyear
Top eight tracts in Goodyear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Wildflower Ranch
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Litchfield Junction
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013061063
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Estrella Vista
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013723304
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Canyon Trails
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Centerra
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Pebblecreek
3.6
/ 10 · Low
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