3 census tracts · pop 18,269 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.2/10
· range 3–3.6
Pebblecreek is a 3-tract quarter of Goodyear, AZ, population 18,269. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.2/10, Lower tier. Against a Goodyear baseline of 37.1%, 60% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
30% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.3/10.
On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.6/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 8.3/10. The voucher gap is 19.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.
At $2,333 a month, rents sit 19% over what the rest of Goodyear commands. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.9% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 9.3% of adults, 8.5 points below the national rate.
That places it #5 of 7 neighborhoods in Goodyear. Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. The closest comparables inside the same city are Canyon Trails and Estrella Vista.
With little internal variation, 3.2/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Pebblecreek vs GoodyearHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority44%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport38%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Pebblecreek
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
7.1%Housing insecurity
4.0%Utility shutoff threat
9.5%Food insecurity
6.2%SNAP enrollment
8.4%No health insurance
29.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Pebblecreek
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Pebblecreek?
Pebblecreek scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Pebblecreek compare to Goodyear overall?
Pebblecreek scores 0.8 points lower than Goodyear overall (4/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 37% citywide. Average rent: $2,333 vs $1,956.
Q3
What is the average rent in Pebblecreek?
Average gross rent in Pebblecreek is $2,333/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Pebblecreek residents are renters?
19% of Pebblecreek households are renter-occupied (vs 22% in Goodyear). The neighborhood has 18,269 residents.
Q5
Is Pebblecreek a high social-vulnerability area?
Pebblecreek sits in the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Pebblecreek have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Pebblecreek is census tract 04013061018 (score 3.6/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.6, a spread of 0.6 points.
Q7
How safe is Pebblecreek for landlords?
Pebblecreek carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.2/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Goodyear as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Pebblecreek?
Pebblecreek has 18,986 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (66.9%), Hispanic / Latino (20.5%), Other / Multiracial (5.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
