Neighborhood · Goodyear, AZ

Pebblecreek Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 18,269 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.8/10 · range 1.3–2.3

Pebblecreek is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Goodyear with 3 census tracts and a population of 18,269 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.8/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 60% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 30% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,333/month sits 19% higher than the Goodyear citywide average ($1,956).

Risk score

1.8

Lower

3 tracts · population-weighted

Pebblecreek vs Goodyear How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

59.6% +61%

Goodyear: 37.1%

Average gross rent

$2,333 +19%

Goodyear: $1,956

Average HH income

$108,589 +7%

Goodyear: $101,814

Poverty rate

5.4% -7%

Goodyear: 5.8%

Renter share

18.6% -17%

Goodyear: 22.3%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Pebblecreek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 1.3–2.3

Why Pebblecreek scores 1.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts

5.6

Rent control risk

60% of income on rent · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts

8.3

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.6–1.6 across tracts

1.6

Tenant organizing strength

19% renter households · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Economic stress

5.4% below poverty line · Range 1.1–1.5 across tracts

1.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.4–10.0 across tracts

6.6

Risk score comparison

Pebblecreek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Pebblecreek?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1 points from 1.3 to 2.3. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

2.3 1.9 1.3

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Pebblecreek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04013061018	2.3	5,512	61%	$3,143
04013061054	1.9	6,765	67%	$1,831
04013061055	1.3	5,992	50%	$2,154

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 33

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 29%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 44%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 44%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 38%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Pebblecreek

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

7.1%Housing insecurity
4.0%Utility shutoff threat
9.5%Food insecurity
6.2%SNAP enrollment
8.4%No health insurance
29.7%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Pebblecreek

What is the eviction-risk score for Pebblecreek?

Pebblecreek scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Pebblecreek compare to Goodyear overall?

Pebblecreek scores 0.7 points lower than Goodyear overall (2.5/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 37% citywide. Average rent: $2,333 vs $1,956.

What is the average rent in Pebblecreek?

Average gross rent in Pebblecreek is $2,333/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Pebblecreek residents are renters?

19% of Pebblecreek households are renter-occupied (vs 22% in Goodyear). The neighborhood has 18,269 residents.

Is Pebblecreek a high social-vulnerability area?

Pebblecreek sits in the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Pebblecreek have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Pebblecreek is census tract 04013061018 (score 2.3/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.3 to 2.3, a spread of 1 points.

How safe is Pebblecreek for landlords?

Pebblecreek carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.8/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Goodyear as a whole (2.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Pebblecreek?

Pebblecreek has 18,986 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (66.9%), Hispanic / Latino (20.5%), Other / Multiracial (5.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Pebblecreek

1.6 Dysart Ranch 3 tracts · pop 11,599 2.8 Rancho Santa Fe 3 tracts · pop 7,479 2 Canyon Trails 3 tracts · pop 14,357 3.9 LaLoma Ranch 2 tracts · pop 10,214 3.9 Litchfield Junction 3 tracts · pop 10,965 2.2 Estrella Vista 2 tracts · pop 8,052

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Goodyear

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Pebblecreek.

1.9 Canyon Trails 3 tracts · pop 14,357 2 Estrella Vista 2 tracts · pop 8,052 1.4 Montecito 1 tracts · pop 4,965 1.4 Estrella Mountain Ranch 3 tracts · pop 8,726 2.3 Centerra 1 tracts · pop 8,518 3.1 Wildflower Ranch 1 tracts · pop 7,504

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