Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally
Montiere Eviction Risk: Lower , Buckeye
Tract 04013050621 ·
Maricopa, AZ · pop 7,820 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 3.6/10, tract 04013050621 in the Montiere area of Buckeye, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 7,820 residents. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%Stable renters 5%Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units2,562
Renter share7.5%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate13.1%
Median income$91,552
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Montiere
Moderate
Within parent city
75th percentile
#5 of 17 tracts In Buckeye
High
Within county
57th percentile
#437 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
54th percentile
#811 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Buckeye and the region
Centroid at 33.5422, -112.7460 · click any tract to drill in
Why Montiere scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buckeye
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
13.1% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,417 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buckeye
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buckeye
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buckeye
4.1
How Montiere compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
55%Socioeconomic
52%Household composition
72%Racial/ethnic minority
21%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
14.6%Housing insecurity
8.1%Utility-shutoff threat
18.6%Food insecurity
13.1%SNAP enrollment
9.9%Transit barriers
15.2%No health insurance
17.1%Frequent mental distress
29.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Montiere
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Cost burden runs around a third here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. At $1,417 a month, rents run 28% under what the rest of Buckeye commands.
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Nationally it ranks #56,048 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $91,552.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013050621
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013050621?
Census tract 04013050621 in the Montiere neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013050621?
Median gross rent is $1,417/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013050621?
13.1% of residents in tract 04013050621 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,820.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013050621?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 52th, minority 72th, housing 21th.
Q5
Is tract 04013050621 considered part of Montiere?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013050621 fall within Montiere (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013050621 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013050621 compare to Buckeye overall?
Tract 04013050621 scores 3.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Buckeye at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buckeye eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Buckeye
Top eight tracts in Buckeye ranked by composite eviction-risk score.