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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

Valencia Eviction Risk: Lower , Buckeye

Tract 04013050702 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,444 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 04013050702 covers part of the Valencia area of Buckeye, AZ, and scores 3.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,444 residents. At $1,126 a month, rents run 43% under what the rest of Buckeye commands.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 25% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units2,472
Renter share44.7%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate10.3%
Median income$75,795

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Valencia
Very Low
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 17 tracts In Buckeye
High
Within county
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#410 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#756 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Buckeye and the region

Centroid at 33.3707, -112.5823 · click any tract to drill in

Why Valencia scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buckeye
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
10.3% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,126 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buckeye
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buckeye
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buckeye
4.1

How Valencia compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Valencia risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.73.7This tracttract 050702Buckeye: 3.43.4Buckeyeparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 187Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 6.47%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.8%Peak (2005)
  • 64Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040130507022001: 44 filings (8.06/100 renter HHs)2002: 22 filings (4.03/100 renter HHs)2003: 22 filings (4.03/100 renter HHs)2004: 35 filings (6.41/100 renter HHs)2005: 64 filings (9.81/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 45% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Valencia. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Valencia

The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 20.3% against 11.3% nationally.

The filing record is not thin: 187 evictions over 5 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2005, when 9.8% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 6.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #54,273 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $75,795, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 44% of renters.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013050702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013050702?

Census tract 04013050702 in the Valencia neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013050702?

Median gross rent is $1,126/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013050702?

10.3% of residents in tract 04013050702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,444.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013050702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 86th, minority 79th, housing 81th.
Q5

Is tract 04013050702 considered part of Valencia?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013050702 fall within Valencia (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013050702?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 187 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013050702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.47% of renter households, peaking at 9.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013050702 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013050702 compare to Buckeye overall?

Tract 04013050702 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Buckeye at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buckeye eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buckeye

Top eight tracts in Buckeye ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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