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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Lehi Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mesa

Tract 04013420401 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,363 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 4.6/10, tract 04013420401 in the Lehi area of Mesa, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,363 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 37% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,578
Renter share62.8%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate20.0%
Median income$51,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Lehi
Moderate
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 133 tracts In Mesa
High
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#224 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
High
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#397 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.4575, -111.8269 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lehi scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
20.0% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,305 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5

How Lehi compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lehi risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 420401Mesa: 3.23.2Mesaparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 845Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 43.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 36.7%Peak (2005)
  • 209Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040134204012001: 166 filings (46.72/100 renter HHs)2002: 157 filings (44.19/100 renter HHs)2003: 123 filings (34.62/100 renter HHs)2004: 190 filings (53.47/100 renter HHs)2005: 209 filings (36.73/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 26% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lehi

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.7/10.

14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Average gross rent is $1,305, 19% below the Mesa average. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Court records carry 845 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. 42% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.

Adults with no health insurance runs 18.6% against 11.3% nationally. Filings peaked in 2005 at 36.7% of renter households.

In a typical year about 43.1% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013420401

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013420401?

Census tract 04013420401 in the Lehi neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013420401?

Median gross rent is $1,305/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013420401?

20.0% of residents in tract 04013420401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,363.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013420401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 63th, minority 74th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 04013420401 considered part of Lehi?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013420401 fall within Lehi (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013420401?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 845 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013420401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 43.15% of renter households, peaking at 36.7% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013420401 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013420401 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013420401 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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