Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Mesa Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04013422107 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,832
Tract 04013422107 sits in Mesa eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. Population here is 4,832. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units2,111
Renter share70.9%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate27.9%
Median income$60,347
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.3971, -111.8613 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mesa scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
27.9% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$1,374 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How Mesa compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 53%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,037Total filings over 5 yrs
- 30.25%Avg annual filing rate
- 42.1%Peak (2005)
- 518Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.0%Housing insecurity
- 11.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.9%Food insecurity
- 18.8%SNAP enrollment
- 13.6%Transit barriers
- 14.9%No health insurance
- 19.6%Frequent mental distress
- 31.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mesa
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
This is renter territory: 71% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,037 filings here across 5 tracked years. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points.
Average gross rent is $1,374, 15% below the Mesa average. The worst year on record was 2005, when 42.1% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 30.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013422107
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422107?
Census tract 04013422107 in Mesa scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013422107?
Median gross rent is $1,374/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422107?
27.9% of residents in tract 04013422107 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,832.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422107?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 67th, minority 76th, housing 53th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422107?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,037 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422107 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 30.25% of renter households, peaking at 42.1% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013422107 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013422107 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013422107 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Dobson Shores
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Buckhorn
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Culdesac Tempe
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Velda Rose Estates
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422106
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Arizona Cowboy
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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