Arizona Cowboy Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mesa

66% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $36,033 and the ratio lands at 39%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

At $1,163 a month, rents run 28% under what the rest of Mesa commands. The filing record is not thin: 998 evictions over 5 years of observation.

Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. Filings peaked in 2005 at 77.3% of renter households.

In a typical year about 69.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 10/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.