Mesa Patios Eviction Risk: Moderate

Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

Food insecurity runs 34.1% against 17.8% nationally. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.6/10. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Average gross rent is $1,295, 20% below the Mesa average. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 294 filings here across 5 tracked years.

It sits 0.9 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Filings peaked in 2002 at 11.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 9.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 9.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.