Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Royal Palm Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mesa
Tract 04013420709 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,421 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 04013420709 sits in the Royal Palm Village area of Mesa eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. Population here is 3,421. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,967
Renter share30.0%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate15.5%
Median income$44,642
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
99
th percentile
Very High
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.4145, -111.7606 · click any tract to drill in
Why Royal Palm Village scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
15.5% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,115 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How Royal Palm Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 90%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 473Total filings over 5 yrs
- 17.55%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.3%Peak (2001)
- 109Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Royal Palm Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.3%Food insecurity
- 9.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 9.1%No health insurance
- 11.6%Frequent mental distress
- 38.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Royal Palm Village
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Average gross rent is $1,115, 31% below the Mesa average. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
37% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. 11% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 473 filings here across 5 tracked years.
Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. Housing insecurity runs 6.8% against 14.2% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2001 at 23.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 17.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013420709
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013420709?
Census tract 04013420709 in the Royal Palm Village neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013420709?
Median gross rent is $1,115/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013420709?
15.5% of residents in tract 04013420709 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,421.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013420709?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 65th, minority 38th, housing 90th.
Q5
Is tract 04013420709 considered part of Royal Palm Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013420709 fall within Royal Palm Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013420709?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 473 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013420709 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.55% of renter households, peaking at 23.3% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013420709 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013420709 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013420709 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Hohokam Village
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013421902
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422001
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013522802
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
McQueen
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013421302
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422102
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013941300
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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