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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Prado del Sol Eviction Risk: Lower , Chandler

Tract 04013810400 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,361 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 04013810400 covers part of the Prado del Sol area of Chandler, AZ, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,361. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 12% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units2,237
Renter share30.0%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$98,958

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Prado del Sol
Moderate
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 61 tracts In Chandler
Elevated
Within county
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#927 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chandler and the region

Centroid at 33.3154, -111.9589 · click any tract to drill in

Why Prado del Sol scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chandler
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,719 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chandler
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chandler
2.0

How Prado del Sol compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Prado del Sol risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 810400Chandler: 3.23.2Chandlerparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 32

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 777Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 26.98%Avg annual filing rate
  • 43.9%Peak (2005)
  • 241Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040138104002001: 70 filings (11.88/100 renter HHs)2002: 113 filings (19.18/100 renter HHs)2003: 152 filings (25.80/100 renter HHs)2004: 201 filings (34.12/100 renter HHs)2005: 241 filings (43.92/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 244% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Prado del Sol

Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. 58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 2/10. SNAP participation runs 6.4% against 15.2% nationally.

Court records carry 777 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Food insecurity runs 10.1% against 17.8% nationally.

Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Average gross rent is $1,719, 10% below the Chandler average.

Filings peaked in 2005 at 43.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 27.0% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.9/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013810400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013810400?

Census tract 04013810400 in the Prado del Sol neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013810400?

Median gross rent is $1,719/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013810400?

10.7% of residents in tract 04013810400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,361.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013810400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 33th, minority 62th, housing 43th.
Q5

Is tract 04013810400 considered part of Prado del Sol?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013810400 fall within Prado del Sol (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013810400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 777 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013810400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 26.98% of renter households, peaking at 43.9% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013810400 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013810400 compare to Chandler overall?

Tract 04013810400 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Chandler at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chandler eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chandler

Top eight tracts in Chandler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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