Neighborhood · Ranked #47,256 of 84,120 nationally

Carrizal Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chandler

Tract 04013523104 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 7,132 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 04013523104 sits in the Carrizal neighborhood of Chandler, Arizona. It has a population of 7,132 and an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). 69% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 40% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,532/month against a median household income of $66,730 — roughly 28% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

5.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 19% Owners 38%

Tract context

Occupied units2,859

Renter share62.4%

SVI overall0.77

Poverty rate16.2%

Median income$66,730

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chandler and the region

Centroid at 33.2993, -111.8494 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carrizal scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Chandler

3.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

16.2% poverty · this tract

4.0

Supply constraint

$1,532 rent vs county FMR

2.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Chandler

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Chandler

2.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Chandler

2.0

How Carrizal compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

68%Socioeconomic
27%Household composition
77%Racial/ethnic minority
94%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,462Total filings over 5 yrs
22.91%Avg annual filing rate
30.9%Peak (2001)
247Filings in 2005 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2001 — 2005

Filings dropped 35% over the past 5 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Carrizal. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.0%Housing insecurity
8.5%Utility-shutoff threat
20.0%Food insecurity
14.0%SNAP enrollment
10.6%Transit barriers
15.4%No health insurance
16.5%Frequent mental distress
29.5%Any disability

Frequently asked

About tract 04013523104

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013523104?

Census tract 04013523104 in the Carrizal neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013523104?

Median gross rent is $1,532/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013523104?

16.2% of residents in tract 04013523104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,132.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013523104?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 27th, minority 77th, housing 94th.

Is tract 04013523104 considered part of Carrizal?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013523104 fall within Carrizal (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013523104?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,462 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013523104 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.91% of renter households, peaking at 30.9% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 04013523104 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.5% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013523104 compare to Chandler overall?

Tract 04013523104 scores 5.1/10 — higher than the parent city of Chandler at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chandler eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chandler

Top eight tracts in Chandler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.