Carrizal Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chandler
Tract 04013523104 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 7,132 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
With a score of 4.4/10, tract 04013523104 in the Carrizal area of Chandler, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 40%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Chandler and the region
Centroid at 33.2993, -111.8494 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carrizal scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Carrizal compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 27%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,462Total filings over 5 yrs
- 22.91%Avg annual filing rate
- 30.9%Peak (2001)
- 247Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Carrizal. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.0%Housing insecurity
- 8.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.0%Food insecurity
- 14.0%SNAP enrollment
- 10.6%Transit barriers
- 15.4%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 29.5%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Carrizal
69% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 2/10. At $1,532 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Chandler commands.
Court records carry 1,462 eviction filings across 5 observed years. It sits 0.7 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Filings peaked in 2001 at 30.9% of renter households.
In a typical year about 22.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #42,813 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 7.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $66,730.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 04013523104
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013523104?
What is the average rent in tract 04013523104?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013523104?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013523104?
Is tract 04013523104 considered part of Carrizal?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013523104?
What share of households in tract 04013523104 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04013523104 compare to Chandler overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Chandler
Top eight tracts in Chandler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.