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Census Tract · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally

Chandler Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04013522903 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,176

Here is how census tract 04013522903, in Chandler eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.3/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 5,176. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 47% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,202 a month while the average household earns $51,695 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 49% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 26% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,738
Renter share48.6%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate30.0%
Median income$51,695

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 61 tracts In Chandler
Very High
Within county
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#180 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
High
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#448 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
National
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#29,578 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chandler and the region

Centroid at 33.3135, -111.8372 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chandler scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chandler
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
30.0% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$1,202 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chandler
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chandler
2.0

How Chandler compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Chandler risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.74.7This tracttract 522903Chandler: 2.52.5Chandlerparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 710Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 24.30%Avg annual filing rate
  • 30.9%Peak (2002)
  • 145Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040135229032001: 113 filings (20.27/100 renter HHs)2002: 172 filings (30.86/100 renter HHs)2003: 164 filings (29.42/100 renter HHs)2004: 116 filings (20.81/100 renter HHs)2005: 145 filings (20.13/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 28% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chandler

What moves this score most is economic stress at 7.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chandler eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 25.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 100th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013522903

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013522903?

Census tract 04013522903 in Chandler scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013522903?

Median gross rent is $1,202/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013522903?

30.0% of residents in tract 04013522903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,176.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013522903?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 91th, minority 87th, housing 98th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013522903?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 710 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013522903 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 24.30% of renter households, peaking at 30.9% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013522903 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013522903 compare to Chandler overall?

Tract 04013522903 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Chandler at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chandler eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chandler

Top eight tracts in Chandler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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