Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Chandler Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04013522903 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,176
Census tract 04013522903 covers part of Chandler, AZ, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,176 residents. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,738
Renter share48.6%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate30.0%
Median income$51,695
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
75
th percentile
High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chandler and the region
Centroid at 33.3135, -111.8372 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chandler scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chandler
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
30.0% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$1,202 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chandler
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
How Chandler compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 100
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 710Total filings over 5 yrs
- 24.30%Avg annual filing rate
- 30.9%Peak (2002)
- 145Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 28% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.9%Housing insecurity
- 14.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 36.9%Food insecurity
- 28.2%SNAP enrollment
- 17.7%Transit barriers
- 30.2%No health insurance
- 18.7%Frequent mental distress
- 39.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chandler
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Average gross rent is $1,202, 37% below the Chandler average. Food insecurity runs 36.9% against 17.8% nationally.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.2/10.
The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Housing insecurity runs 25.9% against 14.2% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 710 filings here across 5 tracked years. It sits 0.9 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7. The worst year on record was 2002, when 30.9% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 24.3% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013522903
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013522903?
Census tract 04013522903 in Chandler scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013522903?
Median gross rent is $1,202/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013522903?
30.0% of residents in tract 04013522903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,176.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013522903?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 91th, minority 87th, housing 98th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013522903?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 710 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013522903 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 24.30% of renter households, peaking at 30.9% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013522903 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013522903 compare to Chandler overall?
Tract 04013522903 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Chandler at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chandler eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chandler
Top eight tracts in Chandler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04013523002
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013523102
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Carrizal
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013522904
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Hightown
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
New Horizons
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013523008
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Heatherbrook
3.5
/ 10 · Low
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