Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
New Horizons Eviction Risk: Lower , Chandler
Tract 04013422209 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 7,597 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Tract 04013422209 sits in the New Horizons area of Chandler eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.8/10. It is home to 7,597 residents. Severe burden reaches 46%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units2,910
Renter share44.8%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate15.6%
Median income$84,474
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
90
th percentile
Very High
Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chandler and the region
Centroid at 33.3424, -111.8504 · click any tract to drill in
Why New Horizons scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chandler
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
15.6% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,659 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chandler
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
How New Horizons compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 46%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,085Total filings over 5 yrs
- 22.38%Avg annual filing rate
- 26.0%Peak (2002)
- 226Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 23% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within New Horizons. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.2%Housing insecurity
- 7.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.1%Food insecurity
- 12.4%SNAP enrollment
- 9.6%Transit barriers
- 12.1%No health insurance
- 16.8%Frequent mental distress
- 27.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in New Horizons
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 2/10.
Court records carry 1,085 eviction filings across 5 observed years. about half of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.
Average gross rent is $1,659, 13% below the Chandler average. Filings peaked in 2002 at 26.0% of renter households.
In a typical year about 22.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #52,479 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.8/10. It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $84,474.
45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013422209
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422209?
Census tract 04013422209 in the New Horizons neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013422209?
Median gross rent is $1,659/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422209?
15.6% of residents in tract 04013422209 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,597.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422209?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 67th, minority 68th, housing 46th.
Q5
Is tract 04013422209 considered part of New Horizons?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422209 fall within New Horizons (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422209?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,085 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422209 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.38% of renter households, peaking at 26.0% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013422209 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013422209 compare to Chandler overall?
Tract 04013422209 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Chandler at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chandler eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chandler
Top eight tracts in Chandler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04013523102
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013522903
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013523002
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Carrizal
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013522904
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Hightown
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013523008
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Heatherbrook
3.5
/ 10 · Low
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