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Neighborhood · Ranked #58,384 of 84,120 nationally

New Horizons Eviction Risk: Lower , Chandler

Tract 04013422209 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 7,597 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 04013422209 (the New Horizons area of Chandler, Arizona) comes in at 5.1/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 44% of US census tracts.

About 50% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 46% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,659 monthly, set against $84,474 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 45% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 22% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units2,910
Renter share44.8%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate15.6%
Median income$84,474

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In New Horizons
Very High
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 61 tracts In Chandler
Very High
Within county
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#525 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Moderate
Within state
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#1,080 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chandler and the region

Centroid at 33.3424, -111.8504 · click any tract to drill in

Why New Horizons scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chandler
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
15.6% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,659 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chandler
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chandler
2.0

How New Horizons compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
New Horizons risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 422209Chandler: 2.52.5Chandlerparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,085Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 22.38%Avg annual filing rate
  • 26.0%Peak (2002)
  • 226Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040134222092001: 183 filings (20.18/100 renter HHs)2002: 236 filings (26.02/100 renter HHs)2003: 221 filings (24.37/100 renter HHs)2004: 219 filings (24.15/100 renter HHs)2005: 226 filings (17.16/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 23% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within New Horizons. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in New Horizons

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 3.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chandler eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013422209

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422209?

Census tract 04013422209 in the New Horizons neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013422209?

Median gross rent is $1,659/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422209?

15.6% of residents in tract 04013422209 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,597.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422209?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 67th, minority 68th, housing 46th.
Q5

Is tract 04013422209 considered part of New Horizons?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422209 fall within New Horizons (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422209?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,085 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422209 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.38% of renter households, peaking at 26.0% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013422209 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013422209 compare to Chandler overall?

Tract 04013422209 scores 3/10, higher than the parent city of Chandler at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chandler eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chandler

Top eight tracts in Chandler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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