New Horizons Eviction Risk: Lower , Chandler
Tract 04013422209 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 7,597 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 04013422209 (the New Horizons area of Chandler, Arizona) comes in at 5.1/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 44% of US census tracts.
About 50% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 46% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,659 monthly, set against $84,474 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 45% of occupied homes.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Chandler and the region
Centroid at 33.3424, -111.8504 · click any tract to drill in
Why New Horizons scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow New Horizons compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 46%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,085Total filings over 5 yrs
- 22.38%Avg annual filing rate
- 26.0%Peak (2002)
- 226Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within New Horizons. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.2%Housing insecurity
- 7.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.1%Food insecurity
- 12.4%SNAP enrollment
- 9.6%Transit barriers
- 12.1%No health insurance
- 16.8%Frequent mental distress
- 27.6%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in New Horizons
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 3.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chandler eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 04013422209
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422209?
What is the average rent in tract 04013422209?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422209?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422209?
Is tract 04013422209 considered part of New Horizons?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422209?
What share of households in tract 04013422209 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04013422209 compare to Chandler overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Chandler
Top eight tracts in Chandler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.