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Census Tract · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally

Chandler Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04013523002 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,743

For landlords sizing up Chandler in Maricopa County, census tract 04013523002 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 48% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,165 a month against an average household income of $73,241 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 47% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 24% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,860
Renter share46.8%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate25.8%
Median income$73,241

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 61 tracts In Chandler
Very High
Within county
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#308 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#694 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
National
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#41,065 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chandler and the region

Centroid at 33.3134, -111.8503 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chandler scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chandler
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
25.8% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$1,165 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chandler
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chandler
2.0

How Chandler compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Chandler risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.04.0This tracttract 523002Chandler: 2.52.5Chandlerparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 327Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 9.31%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.7%Peak (2001)
  • 64Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040135230022001: 74 filings (10.69/100 renter HHs)2002: 70 filings (10.12/100 renter HHs)2003: 54 filings (7.80/100 renter HHs)2004: 65 filings (9.39/100 renter HHs)2005: 64 filings (8.54/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chandler

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 6.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chandler eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 21.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 327 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 9.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.7% of renter households in 2001.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013523002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013523002?

Census tract 04013523002 in Chandler scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013523002?

Median gross rent is $1,165/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013523002?

25.8% of residents in tract 04013523002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,743.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013523002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 97th, minority 77th, housing 74th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013523002?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 327 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013523002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.31% of renter households, peaking at 10.7% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013523002 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013523002 compare to Chandler overall?

Tract 04013523002 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Chandler at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chandler eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chandler

Top eight tracts in Chandler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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