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Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally

Solera Eviction Risk: Lower , Chandler

Tract 04013814000 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,742 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

04013814000 is a census tract in the Solera area of Chandler, AZ. It scores 3.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,742. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 28% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 13% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,439
Renter share17.9%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate9.4%
Median income$75,718

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Solera
Moderate
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#11 of 61 tracts In Chandler
High
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#505 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Moderate
Within state
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#897 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chandler and the region

Centroid at 33.2120, -111.7809 · click any tract to drill in

Why Solera scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chandler
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
9.4% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$2,897 rent vs county FMR
9.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chandler
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chandler
2.0

How Solera compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Solera risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.43.4This tracttract 814000Chandler: 3.23.2Chandlerparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 16.81%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.8%Peak (2005)
  • 3Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040138140002001: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2002: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2004: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2005: 3 filings (16.81/100 renter HHs)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Solera

What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 9.9/10. At $2,897 a month, rents run 52% over what the rest of Chandler commands. The voucher gap is 48.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Annualized rent equals 46% of average household income of $75,718, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Food insecurity runs 6.6% against 17.8% nationally.

Housing insecurity runs 4.3% against 14.2% nationally. Court records carry 3 eviction filings across 1 observed years. The worst year on record was 2005, when 16.8% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 16.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013814000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013814000?

Census tract 04013814000 in the Solera neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013814000?

Median gross rent is $2,897/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013814000?

9.4% of residents in tract 04013814000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,742.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013814000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 49th, minority 28th, housing 32th.
Q5

Is tract 04013814000 considered part of Solera?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013814000 fall within Solera (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013814000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 04013814000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.81% of renter households, peaking at 16.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013814000 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013814000 compare to Chandler overall?

Tract 04013814000 scores 3.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Chandler at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chandler eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chandler

Top eight tracts in Chandler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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