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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Val Vista Lakes Eviction Risk: Lower , Gilbert

Tract 04013422507 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,147 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 04013422507 in the Val Vista Lakes area of Gilbert, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,147. Cost burden runs 29% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 14% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,645
Renter share19.8%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate4.1%
Median income$129,901

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Val Vista Lakes
Very High
Within parent city
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#42 of 58 tracts In Gilbert
Low
Within county
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#817 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gilbert and the region

Centroid at 33.3697, -111.7473 · click any tract to drill in

Why Val Vista Lakes scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gilbert
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
4.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,115 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gilbert
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gilbert
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gilbert
2.0

How Val Vista Lakes compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Val Vista Lakes risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 422507Gilbert: 3.23.2Gilbertparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 9

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 414Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 21.57%Avg annual filing rate
  • 33.4%Peak (2001)
  • 50Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040134225072001: 121 filings (33.43/100 renter HHs)2002: 105 filings (29.01/100 renter HHs)2003: 82 filings (22.65/100 renter HHs)2004: 56 filings (15.47/100 renter HHs)2005: 50 filings (7.27/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 59% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Val Vista Lakes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Val Vista Lakes

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. 13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Food insecurity runs 7.6% against 17.8% nationally. Court records carry 414 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Housing insecurity runs 6.4% against 14.2% nationally.

Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. The worst year on record was 2001, when 33.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 21.6% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013422507

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422507?

Census tract 04013422507 in the Val Vista Lakes neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013422507?

Median gross rent is $2,115/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422507?

4.1% of residents in tract 04013422507 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,147.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422507?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 16th, minority 48th, housing 9th.
Q5

Is tract 04013422507 considered part of Val Vista Lakes?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422507 fall within Val Vista Lakes (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422507?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 414 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422507 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 21.57% of renter households, peaking at 33.4% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013422507 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013422507 compare to Gilbert overall?

Tract 04013422507 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Gilbert at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gilbert eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gilbert

Top eight tracts in Gilbert ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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