Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Sun City Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 04013071504 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,406
Census tract 04013071504 covers part of Sun City, AZ, and scores 3.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,406. Cost burden runs about a quarter here against 46.0% across Maricopa County.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,029
Renter share14.3%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate9.8%
Median income$54,740
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
62
th percentile
Elevated
National
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sun City and the region
Centroid at 33.6286, -112.2829 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sun City scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Sun City
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
9.8% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,266 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sun City
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sun City
1.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sun City
2.1
How Sun City compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 3
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 11%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 3%Racial/ethnic minority
- 4%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2Total filings over 2 yrs
- 1.16%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.9%Peak (2002)
- 1Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 3.9%Housing insecurity
- 2.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.8%Food insecurity
- 6.0%SNAP enrollment
- 4.3%Transit barriers
- 6.0%No health insurance
- 9.2%Frequent mental distress
- 42.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sun City
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.2/10.
The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Average gross rent is $1,266, 19% below the Sun City average.
SNAP participation runs 6.0% against 15.2% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2 filings here across 2 tracked years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Filings peaked in 2002 at 0.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.2% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 14% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013071504
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013071504?
Census tract 04013071504 in Sun City scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013071504?
Median gross rent is $1,266/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013071504?
9.8% of residents in tract 04013071504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,406.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013071504?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 22th, minority 3th, housing 4th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013071504?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 04013071504 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.16% of renter households, peaking at 0.9% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013071504 struggle to pay rent?
About 3.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013071504 compare to Sun City overall?
Tract 04013071504 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Sun City at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sun City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sun City
Top eight tracts in Sun City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04013071505
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Pueblo El Mirage RV Resort
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013071801
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013071802
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Westbrook Village
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Westbrook Village
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Related