Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally

Valencia Eviction Risk: Lower , Buckeye

Tract 04013050701 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 7,619 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

How risky is the Valencia neighborhood of Buckeye for landlords? Census tract 04013050701 scores 5.1/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 44th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

38% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,515 a month against an average household income of $72,607 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 23% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 14% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units2,324
Renter share23.1%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$72,607

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Valencia
Very High
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 17 tracts In Buckeye
Very High
Within county
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#538 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Moderate
Within state
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#1,126 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Buckeye and the region

Centroid at 33.3851, -112.5818 · click any tract to drill in

Why Valencia scores 2.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buckeye
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,515 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buckeye
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buckeye
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buckeye
4.1

How Valencia compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Valencia risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.92.9This tracttract 050701Buckeye: 2.52.5Buckeyeparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 230Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 18.12%Avg annual filing rate
  • 25.8%Peak (2002)
  • 32Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040130507012001: 19 filings (7.66/100 renter HHs)2002: 64 filings (25.82/100 renter HHs)2003: 61 filings (24.61/100 renter HHs)2004: 54 filings (21.78/100 renter HHs)2005: 32 filings (10.72/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 68% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Valencia. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Valencia

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 4.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Buckeye eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 16.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013050701

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013050701?

Census tract 04013050701 in the Valencia neighborhood scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013050701?

Median gross rent is $1,515/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013050701?

11.2% of residents in tract 04013050701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,619.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013050701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 79th, minority 72th, housing 51th.
Q5

Is tract 04013050701 considered part of Valencia?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013050701 fall within Valencia (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013050701?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 230 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013050701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.12% of renter households, peaking at 25.8% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013050701 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013050701 compare to Buckeye overall?

Tract 04013050701 scores 2.9/10, higher than the parent city of Buckeye at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buckeye eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buckeye

Top eight tracts in Buckeye ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related