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Census Tract · Ranked #41,101 of 84,120 nationally

Sun City Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04013071505 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,199 · 84% of tract blocks fall in Sun City

Census tract 04013071505 is in Sun City, Arizona. It has a population of 6,199 and an eviction-risk score of 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). 68% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 40% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,456/month against a median household income of $51,591 — roughly 34% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 8% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units3,816
Renter share25.9%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate20.1%
Median income$51,591

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank — 90th percentileBottomTop
#2 of 11 tracts In Sun City
Very High
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank — 71th percentileBottomTop
#296 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
71 th percentile
Rank — 71th percentileBottomTop
#513 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
National
51 th percentile
Rank — 51th percentileBottomTop
#41,101 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sun City and the region

Centroid at 33.6233, -112.2982 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sun City scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sun City
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
20.1% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,456 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sun City
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sun City
1.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sun City
2.1

How Sun City compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sun City risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 071505Sun City: 4.34.3Sun Cityparent cityCounty: 5.15.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.94.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 52Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 2.97%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.3%Peak (2003)
  • 12Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 — 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040130715052001: 4 filings (1.18/100 renter HHs)2002: 4 filings (1.18/100 renter HHs)2003: 18 filings (5.33/100 renter HHs)2004: 14 filings (4.15/100 renter HHs)2005: 12 filings (3.00/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 200% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013071505

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013071505?

Census tract 04013071505 in Sun City scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013071505?

Median gross rent is $1,456/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013071505?

20.1% of residents in tract 04013071505 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,199.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013071505?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 23th, minority 25th, housing 69th.

Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013071505?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 52 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013071505 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.97% of renter households, peaking at 5.3% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q6

What share of households in tract 04013071505 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q7

How does tract 04013071505 compare to Sun City overall?

Tract 04013071505 scores 5.3/10 — higher than the parent city of Sun City at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sun City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sun City

Top eight tracts in Sun City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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