Agua Fria Eviction Risk: Moderate , El Mirage
Tract 04013060904 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,035 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 04013060904 sits in the Agua Fria area of El Mirage eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. Population here is 4,035. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.9/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across El Mirage and the region
Centroid at 33.6017, -112.3110 · click any tract to drill in
Why Agua Fria scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Agua Fria compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 88%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 107Total filings over 5 yrs
- 12.51%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.2%Peak (2005)
- 31Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Agua Fria. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.0%Housing insecurity
- 11.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.7%Food insecurity
- 21.4%SNAP enrollment
- 14.3%Transit barriers
- 22.9%No health insurance
- 18.4%Frequent mental distress
- 34.0%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Agua Fria
58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. 20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 22.9% against 11.3% nationally.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.2/10. Food insecurity runs 28.7% against 17.8% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 107 evictions over 5 years of observation. It sits 0.9 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7.
The worst year on record was 2005, when 12.2% of renter households were served. At $1,656 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of El Mirage commands.
In a typical year about 12.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #39,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 04013060904
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013060904?
What is the average rent in tract 04013060904?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013060904?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013060904?
Is tract 04013060904 considered part of Agua Fria?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013060904?
What share of households in tract 04013060904 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04013060904 compare to El Mirage overall?
Highest-risk tracts in El Mirage
Top eight tracts in El Mirage ranked by composite eviction-risk score.