Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Morrison Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Gilbert

Tract 04013422657 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,607 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

04013422657 is a census tract in the Morrison Ranch area of Gilbert, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 6% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,218
Renter share9.9%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate2.0%
Median income$133,026

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Morrison Ranch
Low
Within parent city
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 58 tracts In Gilbert
Moderate
Within county
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#845 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gilbert and the region

Centroid at 33.3577, -111.7131 · click any tract to drill in

Why Morrison Ranch scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gilbert
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
2.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,384 rent vs county FMR
7.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gilbert
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gilbert
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gilbert
2.0

How Morrison Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Morrison Ranch risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 422657Gilbert: 3.23.2Gilbertparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Morrison Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Morrison Ranch

Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. 38% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. The voucher gap is 22.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Housing insecurity runs 6.9% against 14.2% nationally. At $2,384 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of Gilbert commands. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 4.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 10% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 2.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013422657

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422657?

Census tract 04013422657 in the Morrison Ranch neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013422657?

Median gross rent is $2,384/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422657?

2.0% of residents in tract 04013422657 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,607.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422657?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 33th, minority 44th, housing 13th.
Q5

Is tract 04013422657 considered part of Morrison Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422657 fall within Morrison Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013422657 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013422657 compare to Gilbert overall?

Tract 04013422657 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Gilbert at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gilbert eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gilbert

Top eight tracts in Gilbert ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related