Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,269 of 84,120 nationally
Val Vista Lakes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Gilbert
Tract 04013422510 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,971 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 04013422510 sits in the Val Vista Lakes neighborhood of Gilbert, Arizona. It has a population of 2,971 and an eviction-risk score of 5.0/10 (Moderate tier). 77% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 0% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $2,558/month against a median household income of $112,344 — roughly 27% rent-to-income at the medians.
Risk score
5.0
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units939
Renter share16.8%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate7.1%
Median income$112,344
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
95
th percentile
Very High
Within county
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
54
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Gilbert and the region
Centroid at 33.3575, -111.7472 · click any tract to drill in
Why Val Vista Lakes scores 5.0
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Gilbert
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
7.1% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$2,558 rent vs county FMR
8.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gilbert
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gilbert
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gilbert
2.0
How Val Vista Lakes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 24
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 17%Socioeconomic
- 34%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 27Total filings over 5 yrs
- 11.80%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.1%Peak (2005)
- 9Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 350% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Val Vista Lakes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.7%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.7%Food insecurity
- 6.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 7.7%No health insurance
- 13.9%Frequent mental distress
- 23.6%Any disability
Frequently asked
About tract 04013422510
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422510?
Census tract 04013422510 in the Val Vista Lakes neighborhood scores 5.0/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013422510?
Median gross rent is $2,558/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422510?
7.1% of residents in tract 04013422510 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,971.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422510?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 34th, minority 39th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 04013422510 considered part of Val Vista Lakes?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422510 fall within Val Vista Lakes (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422510?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 27 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422510 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.80% of renter households, peaking at 6.1% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013422510 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013422510 compare to Gilbert overall?
Tract 04013422510 scores 5.0/10 — higher than the parent city of Gilbert at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gilbert eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Gilbert
Top eight tracts in Gilbert ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Val Vista Lakes
5.0
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Ocotillo
5.0
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Arboreta
5.0
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Power Ranch
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Stonebridge Lakes Manor
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
The Bridges at Gilbert
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Stonebridge Lakes Manor
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Santana
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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