Within parent city
92
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Phoenix Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04013109200 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,463
Census tract 04013109200 covers part of Phoenix, AZ, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,463 residents. The severe-burden share is 39%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units1,564
Renter share70.0%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate14.5%
Median income$44,080
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
National
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.5022, -112.1429 · click any tract to drill in
Why Phoenix scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
14.5% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,210 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How Phoenix compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,861Total filings over 5 yrs
- 34.63%Avg annual filing rate
- 48.0%Peak (2002)
- 271Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 21% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.9%Housing insecurity
- 13.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.0%Food insecurity
- 25.8%SNAP enrollment
- 16.8%Transit barriers
- 25.2%No health insurance
- 18.7%Frequent mental distress
- 36.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Phoenix
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.2/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $44,080, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Food insecurity runs 34.0% against 17.8% nationally. This is renter territory: 70% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Average gross rent is $1,210, 24% below the Phoenix average. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Housing insecurity runs 23.9% against 14.2% nationally.
Court records carry 1,861 eviction filings across 5 observed years. The worst year on record was 2002, when 48.0% of renter households were served.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013109200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013109200?
Census tract 04013109200 in Phoenix scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013109200?
Median gross rent is $1,210/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013109200?
14.5% of residents in tract 04013109200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,463.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013109200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 83th, minority 90th, housing 99th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013109200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,861 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013109200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 34.63% of renter households, peaking at 48.0% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013109200 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013109200 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013109200 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Alhambra
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013114704
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013116800
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Turtle Creek
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Young America Homes
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Longhaven West
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
County Fair West
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mountain View Trailer Court
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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