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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Paradise City Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013103305 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,997 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 04013103305 covers part of the Paradise City area of Phoenix, AZ, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 25% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,208
Renter share47.4%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate28.1%
Median income$47,155

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Paradise City
Very High
Within parent city
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#91 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#31 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#165 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.6369, -112.0254 · click any tract to drill in

Why Paradise City scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
28.1% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$1,071 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Paradise City compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Paradise City risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 103305Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 358Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 12.75%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.2%Peak (2001)
  • 82Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131033052001: 83 filings (14.16/100 renter HHs)2002: 77 filings (13.14/100 renter HHs)2003: 53 filings (9.04/100 renter HHs)2004: 63 filings (10.75/100 renter HHs)2005: 82 filings (16.67/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Paradise City. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Paradise City

Adults with no health insurance runs 34.7% against 11.3% nationally. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.

At $1,071 a month, rents run 32% under what the rest of Phoenix commands. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

It sits 1.3 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Court records carry 358 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Filings peaked in 2001 at 14.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 12.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 9.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013103305

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013103305?

Census tract 04013103305 in the Paradise City neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013103305?

Median gross rent is $1,071/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013103305?

28.1% of residents in tract 04013103305 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,997.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013103305?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 72th, minority 84th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 04013103305 considered part of Paradise City?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013103305 fall within Paradise City (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013103305?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 358 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013103305 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.75% of renter households, peaking at 14.2% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013103305 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013103305 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013103305 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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