Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Culdesac Tempe Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04013319103 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,915 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 5.6/10, tract 04013319103 in the Culdesac Tempe area of Tempe, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,915 residents. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 50%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 15%
Tract context
Occupied units2,228
Renter share84.9%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate40.8%
Median income$54,366
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tempe and the region
Centroid at 33.4190, -111.9162 · click any tract to drill in
Why Culdesac Tempe scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tempe
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
40.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,326 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tempe
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tempe
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tempe
4.5
How Culdesac Tempe compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,229Total filings over 5 yrs
- 11.03%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.1%Peak (2002)
- 204Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 24% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Culdesac Tempe. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.4%Housing insecurity
- 7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.9%Food insecurity
- 14.2%SNAP enrollment
- 12.8%Transit barriers
- 10.6%No health insurance
- 18.9%Frequent mental distress
- 27.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Culdesac Tempe
The poverty rate is 41%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened.
85% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.9 points.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.8/10. At $1,326 a month, rents run 24% under what the rest of Tempe commands.
Court records carry 1,229 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Filings peaked in 2002 at 12.1% of renter households.
In a typical year about 11.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 6.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013319103
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013319103?
Census tract 04013319103 in the Culdesac Tempe neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013319103?
Median gross rent is $1,326/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013319103?
40.8% of residents in tract 04013319103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,915.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013319103?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 3th, minority 72th, housing 78th.
Q5
Is tract 04013319103 considered part of Culdesac Tempe?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013319103 fall within Culdesac Tempe (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013319103?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,229 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013319103 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.03% of renter households, peaking at 12.1% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013319103 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013319103 compare to Tempe overall?
Tract 04013319103 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Tempe at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tempe eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tempe
Top eight tracts in Tempe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Tempe Junction
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Tempe Junction
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Tempe Junction
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Tempe Junction
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Tempe Junction
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Culdesac Tempe
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Culdesac Tempe
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Culdesac Tempe
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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