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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Culdesac Tempe Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04013422104 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,657 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 04013422104 sits in the Culdesac Tempe area of Mesa eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. Population here is 5,657. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 31% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units2,294
Renter share60.9%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate27.5%
Median income$47,393

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In Culdesac Tempe
Very Low
Within parent city
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 133 tracts In Tempe
High
Within county
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#243 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
High
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#397 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tempe and the region

Centroid at 33.4013, -111.8800 · click any tract to drill in

Why Culdesac Tempe scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tempe
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
27.5% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$1,258 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tempe
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tempe
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tempe
2.5

How Culdesac Tempe compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Culdesac Tempe risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 422104Tempe: 4.24.2Tempeparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,814Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 21.87%Avg annual filing rate
  • 23.7%Peak (2001)
  • 363Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040134221042001: 413 filings (23.72/100 renter HHs)2002: 347 filings (19.93/100 renter HHs)2003: 285 filings (16.37/100 renter HHs)2004: 406 filings (23.32/100 renter HHs)2005: 363 filings (26.00/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Culdesac Tempe. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Culdesac Tempe

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

At $1,258 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Mesa commands. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,814 filings here across 5 tracked years. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points.

Food insecurity runs 25.9% against 17.8% nationally. Filings peaked in 2001 at 23.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 21.9% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013422104

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422104?

Census tract 04013422104 in the Culdesac Tempe neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013422104?

Median gross rent is $1,258/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422104?

27.5% of residents in tract 04013422104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,657.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422104?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 28th, minority 70th, housing 78th.
Q5

Is tract 04013422104 considered part of Culdesac Tempe?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422104 fall within Culdesac Tempe (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422104?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,814 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422104 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 21.87% of renter households, peaking at 23.7% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013422104 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013422104 compare to Tempe overall?

Tract 04013422104 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Tempe at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tempe eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tempe

Top eight tracts in Tempe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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