Fuller Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mesa

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $42,122, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

The poverty rate is 35%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Running hot, economic stress reads 8.8/10. Food insecurity runs 28.9% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 25.5% against 15.2% nationally. At $1,337 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Mesa commands.

The filing record is not thin: 300 evictions over 5 years of observation. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.