Within neighborhood
17
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Mesa Patios Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04013420901 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,273 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 04013420901 sits in the Mesa Patios area of Mesa eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.1/10. Population here is 3,273. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,110
Renter share50.8%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate14.8%
Median income$66,513
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.4332, -111.8142 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mesa Patios scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
14.8% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,249 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How Mesa Patios compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 866Total filings over 5 yrs
- 31.10%Avg annual filing rate
- 35.0%Peak (2004)
- 186Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 23% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Mesa Patios. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.9%Housing insecurity
- 8.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.6%Food insecurity
- 14.5%SNAP enrollment
- 11.2%Transit barriers
- 16.4%No health insurance
- 17.6%Frequent mental distress
- 31.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mesa Patios
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.4/10.
54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. At $1,249 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Mesa commands. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 866 filings here across 5 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2004 at 35.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 31.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 44th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.8/10. It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013420901
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013420901?
Census tract 04013420901 in the Mesa Patios neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013420901?
Median gross rent is $1,249/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013420901?
14.8% of residents in tract 04013420901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,273.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013420901?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 62th, minority 69th, housing 69th.
Q5
Is tract 04013420901 considered part of Mesa Patios?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013420901 fall within Mesa Patios (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013420901?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 866 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013420901 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 31.10% of renter households, peaking at 35.0% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013420901 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013420901 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013420901 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Culdesac Tempe
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Buckhorn
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Velda Rose Estates
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422106
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422107
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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