Mesa Eviction Risk: Moderate

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Set annual rent against average income of $44,118 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. 15% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Average gross rent is $1,268, 22% below the Mesa average. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.8% against 11.3% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 27.0% against 17.8% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 309 filings here across 5 tracked years. It sits 0.9 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7.

Filings peaked in 2001 at 20.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 12.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.