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Census Tract · Ranked #53,267 of 84,120 nationally

Sun City Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 04013071504 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,406

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 04013071504 (Sun City in Maricopa County, Arizona) comes in at 4.2/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 17th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 26% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,266 a month while the average household earns $54,740 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 14% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 11% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,029
Renter share14.3%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate9.8%
Median income$54,740

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 11 tracts In Sun City
Elevated
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#447 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#974 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
National
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#53,267 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sun City and the region

Centroid at 33.6286, -112.2829 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sun City scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sun City
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
9.8% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,266 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sun City
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sun City
1.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sun City
2.1

How Sun City compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sun City risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.33.3This tracttract 071504Sun City: 2.52.5Sun Cityparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 3

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 1.16%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.9%Peak (2002)
  • 1Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040130715042001: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2002: 1 filings (0.90/100 renter HHs)2003: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2004: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2005: 1 filings (1.41/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sun City

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 2.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Sun City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and below the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 1.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 0.9% of renter households in 2002.

In CDC survey modeling, about 3.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 2.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013071504

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013071504?

Census tract 04013071504 in Sun City scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013071504?

Median gross rent is $1,266/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013071504?

9.8% of residents in tract 04013071504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,406.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013071504?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 22th, minority 3th, housing 4th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013071504?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 04013071504 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.16% of renter households, peaking at 0.9% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013071504 struggle to pay rent?

About 3.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013071504 compare to Sun City overall?

Tract 04013071504 scores 3.3/10, higher than the parent city of Sun City at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sun City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sun City

Top eight tracts in Sun City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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