Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Sun City Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04013071801 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,058 · 88% of tract blocks fall in Sun City
04013071801 is a census tract in Sun City, AZ. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 54%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units2,919
Renter share21.2%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate22.7%
Median income$40,694
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sun City and the region
Centroid at 33.5901, -112.2766 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sun City scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Sun City
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
22.7% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,185 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sun City
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sun City
1.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sun City
2.1
How Sun City compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 58%Socioeconomic
- 48%Household composition
- 18%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 31Total filings over 5 yrs
- 1.06%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.2%Peak (2001)
- 7Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 42% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.7%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.5%Food insecurity
- 10.7%SNAP enrollment
- 6.5%Transit barriers
- 9.0%No health insurance
- 11.3%Frequent mental distress
- 43.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sun City
around two-thirds of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $40,694, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.1/10. Average gross rent is $1,185, 24% below the Sun City average.
Disability prevalence runs 43.9% against 31.5% nationally. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Court records carry 31 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. Housing insecurity runs 6.7% against 14.2% nationally.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013071801
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013071801?
Census tract 04013071801 in Sun City scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013071801?
Median gross rent is $1,185/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013071801?
22.7% of residents in tract 04013071801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,058.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013071801?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 48th, minority 18th, housing 94th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013071801?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 31 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013071801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.06% of renter households, peaking at 2.2% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013071801 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013071801 compare to Sun City overall?
Tract 04013071801 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Sun City at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sun City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sun City
Top eight tracts in Sun City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04013071505
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Pueblo El Mirage RV Resort
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013071802
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013071504
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Westbrook Village
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Tuscany Shores at Desert Harbor
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Westbrook Village
3.6
/ 10 · Low
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