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Census Tract · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Phoenix Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04013112900 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,630

Census tract 04013112900 covers part of Phoenix, AZ, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,630. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 32% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units2,045
Renter share60.7%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate21.0%
Median income$58,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Very High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#102 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#165 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
National
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#32,842 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.4586, -112.0913 · click any tract to drill in

Why Phoenix scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
21.0% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,191 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Phoenix compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Phoenix risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 112900Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 659Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 12.30%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.6%Peak (2005)
  • 175Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131129002001: 60 filings (5.32/100 renter HHs)2002: 127 filings (11.27/100 renter HHs)2003: 141 filings (12.51/100 renter HHs)2004: 156 filings (13.84/100 renter HHs)2005: 175 filings (18.56/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 192% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Phoenix

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.1/10.

Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. At $1,191 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of Phoenix commands. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.

The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 659 filings here across 5 tracked years.

Adults with no health insurance runs 19.1% against 11.3% nationally. Food insecurity runs 24.9% against 17.8% nationally. Filings peaked in 2005 at 18.6% of renter households.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Phoenix. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 12.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013112900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013112900?

Census tract 04013112900 in Phoenix scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013112900?

Median gross rent is $1,191/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013112900?

21.0% of residents in tract 04013112900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,630.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013112900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 60th, minority 71th, housing 85th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013112900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 659 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013112900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.30% of renter households, peaking at 18.6% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013112900 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013112900 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013112900 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 04013112900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 27% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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