Catalina Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

The poverty rate is 40%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Housing insecurity runs 34.2% against 14.2% nationally.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.

35% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. At $1,127 a month, rents run 29% under what the rest of Phoenix commands. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

It sits 1.3 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 720 filings here across 5 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2005 at 16.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 19.9% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #32,842 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 10/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.