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Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally

Catalina Village Eviction Risk: Elevated , Phoenix

Tract 04013112602 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 8,704 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 04013112602, home to 8,704 residents in Catalina Village in Phoenix, scores 5.6/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #31,374 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

35% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,127 a month against an average household income of $47,188 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 26% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units2,032
Renter share39.9%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate40.2%
Median income$47,188

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Catalina Village
Moderate
Within parent city
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#82 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.4567, -112.1430 · click any tract to drill in

Why Catalina Village scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
40.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,127 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Catalina Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Catalina Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.16.1This tracttract 112602Phoenix: 2.82.8Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 720Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 19.93%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.7%Peak (2005)
  • 162Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131126022001: 130 filings (19.32/100 renter HHs)2002: 130 filings (19.32/100 renter HHs)2003: 158 filings (23.48/100 renter HHs)2004: 140 filings (20.80/100 renter HHs)2005: 162 filings (16.72/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 25% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Catalina Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Catalina Village

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 34.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 19.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013112602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013112602?

Census tract 04013112602 in the Catalina Village neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013112602?

Median gross rent is $1,127/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013112602?

40.2% of residents in tract 04013112602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,704.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013112602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 94th, minority 96th, housing 97th.
Q5

Is tract 04013112602 considered part of Catalina Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013112602 fall within Catalina Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013112602?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 720 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013112602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.93% of renter households, peaking at 16.7% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013112602 struggle to pay rent?

About 34.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013112602 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013112602 scores 6.1/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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