Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
North Garfield Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix
Tract 04013113100 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,837 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 04013113100 covers part of the North Garfield area of Phoenix, AZ, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,837 residents. Annualized rent equals 50% of average household income of $38,623, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 49%
Stable renters 45%
Owners 6%
Tract context
Occupied units3,295
Renter share94.0%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate37.6%
Median income$38,623
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
91
th percentile
Very High
Within county
90
th percentile
High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.4550, -112.0739 · click any tract to drill in
Why North Garfield scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
37.6% poverty · this tract
9.4
Supply constraint
$1,604 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How North Garfield compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 68%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 462Total filings over 5 yrs
- 7.82%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.8%Peak (2002)
- 97Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within North Garfield. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.9%Housing insecurity
- 9.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.9%Food insecurity
- 18.2%SNAP enrollment
- 13.3%Transit barriers
- 12.5%No health insurance
- 19.9%Frequent mental distress
- 31.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in North Garfield
The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.4/10. 94% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
The poverty rate is 38%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
It sits 1.3 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Cost burden runs 52% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. Court records carry 462 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2002, when 8.8% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Phoenix. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 7.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 61st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 7.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013113100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013113100?
Census tract 04013113100 in the North Garfield neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013113100?
Median gross rent is $1,604/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013113100?
37.6% of residents in tract 04013113100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,837.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013113100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 4th, minority 58th, housing 94th.
Q5
Is tract 04013113100 considered part of North Garfield?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013113100 fall within North Garfield (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013113100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 462 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013113100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.82% of renter households, peaking at 8.8% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013113100 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013113100 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013113100 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 04013113100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04013109102
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Alhambra
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Maryvale Terrace
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013114500
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Patrick Park
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013109200
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Rancho Hermoso
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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