Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally

Phoenix Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 04013114900 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,717

Here is how census tract 04013114900, in Phoenix eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.5/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 2,717. It lands near the 59th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 29% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $349 a month while the average household earns $25,306 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 84% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 59% Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units1,334
Renter share83.9%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate45.2%
Median income$25,306

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#61 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
National
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#9,878 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.4290, -112.0740 · click any tract to drill in

Why Phoenix scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
45.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$349 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Phoenix compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Phoenix risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.26.2This tracttract 114900Phoenix: 2.82.8Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 80Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 2.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.7%Peak (2004)
  • 14Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131149002001: 10 filings (1.37/100 renter HHs)2002: 17 filings (2.33/100 renter HHs)2003: 19 filings (2.60/100 renter HHs)2004: 20 filings (2.74/100 renter HHs)2005: 14 filings (1.72/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 40% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Phoenix

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 50% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 80 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 2.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.7% of renter households in 2004.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013114900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013114900?

Census tract 04013114900 in Phoenix scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013114900?

Median gross rent is $349/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013114900?

45.2% of residents in tract 04013114900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,717.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013114900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 100th, minority 88th, housing 91th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013114900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 80 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013114900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.15% of renter households, peaking at 2.7% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013114900 struggle to pay rent?

About 30.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013114900 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013114900 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 04013114900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 50% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related