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Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally

South Phoenix Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 04013115300 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,765 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

Eviction risk in the South Phoenix neighborhood of Phoenix centers on tract 04013115300, which scores $1/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 2,765 residents. On the national scale it ranks #19,903 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 62% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $903 a month while the average household earns $36,106 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 64% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 25% Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units955
Renter share64.1%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate37.1%
Median income$36,106

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 7 tracts In South Phoenix
Very High
Within parent city
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#82 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.4127, -112.0487 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Phoenix scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
37.1% poverty · this tract
9.3
Supply constraint
$903 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How South Phoenix compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Phoenix risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.16.1This tracttract 115300Phoenix: 2.82.8Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 126Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 7.05%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.9%Peak (2001)
  • 31Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131153002001: 37 filings (10.88/100 renter HHs)2002: 16 filings (4.71/100 renter HHs)2003: 13 filings (3.82/100 renter HHs)2004: 29 filings (8.53/100 renter HHs)2005: 31 filings (7.31/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 16% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Phoenix. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Phoenix

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 100th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 126 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 7.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.9% of renter households in 2001.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013115300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013115300?

Census tract 04013115300 in the South Phoenix neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013115300?

Median gross rent is $903/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013115300?

37.1% of residents in tract 04013115300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,765.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013115300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 98th, minority 90th, housing 100th.
Q5

Is tract 04013115300 considered part of South Phoenix?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013115300 fall within South Phoenix (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013115300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 126 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013115300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.05% of renter households, peaking at 10.9% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013115300 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013115300 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013115300 scores 6.1/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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