Within neighborhood
83
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
South Phoenix Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04013115300 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,765 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
With a score of 5/10, tract 04013115300 in the South Phoenix area of Phoenix, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 36% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units955
Renter share64.1%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate37.1%
Median income$36,106
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.4127, -112.0487 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Phoenix scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
37.1% poverty · this tract
9.3
Supply constraint
$903 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How South Phoenix compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 100
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 100%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 126Total filings over 5 yrs
- 7.05%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.9%Peak (2001)
- 31Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 16% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Phoenix. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 29.2%Housing insecurity
- 17.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 44.3%Food insecurity
- 38.4%SNAP enrollment
- 20.9%Transit barriers
- 32.0%No health insurance
- 18.5%Frequent mental distress
- 46.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Phoenix
At $903 a month, rents run 43% under what the rest of Phoenix commands. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 62% of renters here are cost-burdened.
What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.3/10. The poverty rate is 37%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Housing insecurity runs 29.2% against 14.2% nationally. It sits 1.3 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Court records carry 126 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2001 at 10.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 7.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013115300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013115300?
Census tract 04013115300 in the South Phoenix neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013115300?
Median gross rent is $903/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013115300?
37.1% of residents in tract 04013115300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,765.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013115300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 98th, minority 90th, housing 100th.
Q5
Is tract 04013115300 considered part of South Phoenix?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013115300 fall within South Phoenix (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013115300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 126 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013115300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.05% of renter households, peaking at 10.9% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013115300 struggle to pay rent?
About 29.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013115300 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013115300 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Wabash Trailer Court
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Melrose District
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
County Fair West
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013112900
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Alhambra
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Silva Mountain
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Shadow Canyon
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Camelback Trailer Ranch
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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